Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.036005 0.041838 0.048317 0.056049 0.065027 0.075128 0.087361
2025-12-07 0.026548 0.034072 0.043290 0.055419 0.070975 0.090279 0.116095
2025-12-14 0.020564 0.028502 0.038991 0.053881 0.074507 0.102127 0.142030
2025-12-21 0.016576 0.024473 0.035580 0.052360 0.077130 0.112449 0.166832
2025-12-28 0.014394 0.022443 0.034390 0.053439 0.083147 0.127869 0.200643
2026-01-04 0.012530 0.020509 0.032929 0.053708 0.087736 0.141500 0.233406
2026-01-11 0.011022 0.018852 0.031582 0.053830 0.091920 0.154812 0.267254
2026-01-18 0.009903 0.017641 0.030735 0.054563 0.097071 0.170171 0.306411
2026-01-25 0.009070 0.016782 0.030330 0.055931 0.103392 0.188180 0.352469
2026-02-01 0.007906 0.015157 0.028349 0.054172 0.103798 0.195670 0.380292
2026-02-08 0.007096 0.014069 0.027184 0.053731 0.106522 0.207618 0.417944
2026-02-15 0.006387 0.013077 0.026061 0.053194 0.108935 0.219179 0.456238
2026-02-22 0.005915 0.012504 0.025704 0.054183 0.114628 0.238100 0.512545
2026-03-01 0.005335 0.011632 0.024638 0.053579 0.116972 0.250580 0.557238
2026-03-08 0.004748 0.010664 0.023248 0.052093 0.117222 0.258677 0.593528
2026-03-15 0.004237 0.009793 0.021950 0.050624 0.117287 0.266335 0.629832
2026-03-22 0.003979 0.009459 0.021780 0.051667 0.123159 0.287592 0.700448
2026-03-29 0.003691 0.009013 0.021303 0.051926 0.127228 0.305220 0.764871
2026-04-05 0.003423 0.008579 0.020796 0.052044 0.130962 0.322516 0.830882
2026-04-12 0.003216 0.008269 0.020544 0.052753 0.136242 0.344198 0.910991
2026-04-19 0.003062 0.008070 0.020538 0.054075 0.143247 0.371040 1.008273
2026-04-26 0.002762 0.007456 0.019419 0.052375 0.142170 0.377187 1.051300
2026-05-03 0.002556 0.007060 0.018811 0.051949 0.144430 0.392319 1.121058